Carbapenem non-susceptibility of Klebsiella pneumoniae isolates in hospitals from 2011 to 2016, data from the German Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance (ARS)

Background

Carbapenem resistance in Klebsiella pneumoniae is of significant public health concern and recently spread across several countries. We investigated the extent of carbapenem non-susceptibility in K. pneumoniae isolates in Germany.

Methods

We analysed 2011–2016 data from the German Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance (ARS) System, which contains routine data of antimicrobial susceptibility testing from voluntarily participating German laboratories. Klebsiella pneumoniae isolates tested resistant or intermediate against an antibiotic were classified as non-susceptible.

Results

We included 154,734 isolates from 655 hospitals in the analysis. Carbapenem non-susceptibility in K. pneumoniae isolates was low in Germany 0.63% (95% CI 0.51–0.76%). However, in continuously participating hospitals the number of K. pneumoniae isolates almost doubled and we found evidence for a slowly increasing trend for non-susceptibility (OR = 1.20 per year, 95% CI 1.09–1.33, p < 0.001). Carbapenem non-susceptibility was highest among isolates from patients aged 20–39 in men but not in women. Moreover, carbapenem non-susceptibility was more frequently reported for isolates from tertiary care, specialist care, and prevention and rehabilitation care hospitals as well as from intensive care units. Co-resistance of carbapenem non-susceptible isolates against antibiotics such as tigecycline, gentamicin, and co-trimoxazole was common. Co-resistance against colistin was 13.3% (95% CI 9.8–17.9%) in carbapenem non-susceptible isolates.

Conclusion

Carbapenem non-susceptibility in K. pneumoniae isolates in Germany is still low. However, it is slowly increasing and in the light of the strong increase of K. pneumoniae isolates over the last year this poses a significant challenge to public health. Continued surveillance to closely monitor trends as well as infection control and antibiotic stewardship activities are necessary to preserve treatment options.

Klebsiella (K.) pneumoniae is a gram negative pathogen in the family of Enterobacteriaceae. It is able to acquire a wide array of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) genes and can cause severe healthcare- associated infections [1, 2]. Infections with carbapenem non-susceptible K. pneumoniae are associated with higher mortality and the World Health Organization classified carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae as a critical priority pathogen for research and development [3, 4]. Carbapenem resistance has been emerging world-wide over the last years with local differences in frequency and mechanisms of resistance [1]. The prevalence of carbapenem non-susceptible K. pneumoniae strongly increased in countries of Southern Europe such as Greece and Italy [5]. Germany has experienced local outbreaks of carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae and other resistant Enterobacteriaceae [6, 7]. The German National Reference Centre for multidrug-resistant gram-negative bacteria analyses carbapenem non-susceptible K. pneumoniae strains that are submitted for further analysis and confirmation. In a recent analysis, carbapenemases could be identified in 50,9% of carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae isolates with OXA-48 being the most prevalent [8]. In a recent study in a German academic tertiary care centre, OXA-48 was detected in 19 of 28 carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae isolates [9].

A pivotal element in the prevention and control of carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae is the regular and ongoing surveillance of colonizations and infections in order to inform infection control measures in hospitals [10].

The Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance (ARS) is the national surveillance system for AMR in Germany [11]. Since 2008, microbiological laboratories across Germany voluntarily participate and submit data from routine antimicrobial susceptibility testing to ARS. AMR data for selected pathogens are accessible on the ARS website (https://ars.rki.de). In addition, the surveillance system contributes data to the European Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Network (EARS-Net) and to the Global Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance System (GLASS) at the World Health Organization [5].

In 2016, a national statutory surveillance system for carbapenem non-susceptibility was implemented in Germany. However, information on changes in carbapenem resistance over the recent years is scarce. The objective of our study was to analyse trends and risk-factors for carbapenem non-susceptibility of K. pneumoniae isolates in Germany as well as co-resistance of carbapenem non-susceptible isolates to other commonly used antibiotics.

Study design and data source

We undertook an observational cross-sectional study to analyse carbapenem non-susceptibility of K. pneumoniae isolates in hospitals in Germany.

Data on antimicrobial susceptibility testing are obtained from ARS. Participating laboratories share their data on routine antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) of microbiological samples from hospitals and medical practices [11]. Participation is voluntary for the laboratories and can change over time. The sample of hospitals and medical practices providing data to ARS is organised by laboratory clusters. The geographical distribution of the hospitals contributing data to the study is shown in Additional file 1: Appendix S2. The identity of the hospitals and medical practices is kept confidential. Data on patients is anonymised.

The laboratories identify bacteria from specimens sent in from hospitals or medical practices and determine the zone diameters or minimum inhibitory concentrations (MIC) of routinely used antibiotics (e.g. with microdilution, gradient or disk diffusion). Based on international guidelines (e.g. by the European Committee on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing (EUCAST)), the zone diameter or MIC are used for the interpretative results “susceptible” (S), “intermediate” (I), or “resistant” (R) against the tested antibiotic.

All participating laboratories are accredited to perform pathogen identification and antimicrobial susceptibility testing. Data are checked for plausibility during the data transmission process and are validated by the laboratories annually for completeness and consistency.

Outcomes and covariates

The main outcome of the study is the proportion of carbapenem non-susceptible K. pneumoniae isolates in relation to all K. pneumoniae isolates tested for carbapenem resistance. An isolate is considered non-susceptible against an antibiotic if the susceptibility test results are interpreted as “resistant” (R) or “intermediate” (I). Age was converted into a categorical variable for the analysis (< 1, 1–19, 20–39, 40–49, 50–59, 60–69, 70–79, and 80+ years). The specimen types were grouped as follows: swabs (swabs from eye, nose, throat, ear, tongue, and urogenital sites as well as intraoperative swabs and other/unspecified swabs), blood (blood cultures), puncture (tissue biopsy, cerebrospinal fluid, and aspirate from pleural cavity, abscess, ascites, or joint puncture, other punctures), urine (urine samples), wound (swabs from wounds and abscesses), respiratory (bronchial lavage, bronchial secretions, sputum, tracheal secretion, other respiratory samples), other (dialysate, ejaculate, catheters, other). To analyse for seasonality, a categorical variable was created according to the month in which the isolate was obtained: January – March, April – June, July – September, October – December. The geographic regions were grouped as follows: Northwest (Bremen, Hamburg, Lower Saxony, Schleswig-Holstein), West (North Rhine-Westphalia), Southwest (Baden-Wuerttemberg, Hesse, Rhineland-Palatinate, Saarland), Southeast (Bavaria, Saxony, Thuringia), and Northeast (Berlin, Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-West Pomerania, Saxony-Anhalt). Several variables on the county level of the hospital were also included in the analysis: counties were divided into “rural” or “city” based on a list from the Federal Agency for Cartography and Geodesy [12, 13]. Moreover, the social deprivation index per county was derived from the German Index of Socioeconomic Deprivation (GISD) [14, 15]. The GISD uses nine indicators from publicly available administrative datasets. It is based on factor analysis for indexing and weighting of the indicators to the three latent dimensions education, occupation and income. For the analysis, a categorical variable was created dividing the counties by social deprivation index into quintiles with 1 indicating the lowest deprivation and 5 the highest. In addition, the density of hospital beds per 10.000 inhabitants was also included on a county level. For the analysis a categorical variable was created dividing the counties by hospital bed densities into quartiles.

Analysed risk factors include age and sex of the patient, hospital care level (Secondary Care, Tertiary Care, Specialist Care, Prevention and Rehabilitation Care, other), type of care (intensive, normal hospital ward, other), clinical speciality (surgery and related, internal medicine, other), specimen type, region, county type (rural, city), social deprivation index of the county where the hospital is located, hospital beds per 10.000 inhabitants in the county where the hospital is located as well as year and quarter when the isolate was obtained.

In- and exclusion criteria of K. pneumoniae isolates

In the analysis, we focused on materials that are most likely derived from clinical samples, so isolates labelled as screening samples, anal swabs, and stool samples were excluded. We excluded isolates without susceptibility testing. In order to avoid bias from repeated testing, we only included the first isolate per patient per quarter in the analysis irrespective of the specimen type. If several isolates from one patient were tested on the same day we selected the most relevant isolate for the analysis according to this priority: isolate tested non-susceptible against at least one carbapenem > isolate tested against at least one carbapenem > isolate not tested against at least one carbapenem.

Statistical analysis

The distribution of baseline characteristics of the K. pneumoniae isolates was analysed using percentages and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for categorical variables accounting for clustering on the hospital level. Continuous variables were analysed as means with standard deviations if normally distributed and as median with interquartile ranges if non-normally distributed.

Carbapenem non-susceptibility was defined as the proportion of non-susceptible isolates in relation to all tested isolates in the analysis and expressed in percentage and 95% confidence intervals accounting for clustering on the hospital level. An isolate was considered non-susceptible to at least one carbapenem if it was tested as intermediate or resistant against meropenem, imipenem, or ertapenem.

Risk factors for carbapenem non-susceptibility were analysed using univariable and multivariable multilevel (hierarchical) mixed-effects logistic regression models with random intercepts, accounting for clustering on the county and hospital level. Mixed models allow calculating intraclass correlation coefficients for the random intercepts, to quantify variance on different levels [16]. P-values were calculated using Wald tests. For the multivariable model, year, quarter, age and sex of patient, hospital care level, type of care, clinical speciality, specimen type, region, county type, county deprivation index, and hospital beds per 10,000 inhabitants were included. Isolates with missing data in any of these variables were not included in the uni- and multivariable regression models (full case analysis).

For the analysis of carbapenem non-susceptibility over time, a univariable multilevel (hierarchical) mixed-effects logistic regression model was calculated with year as a continuous variable. Only isolates from hospitals that continuously contributed data from 2011 to 2016 were included in the analysis. The p-value was derived from a Wald test.

Sensitivity analyses

Not all isolates have been tested for resistance against all three carbapenems (meropenem, imipenem, and ertapenem) and we conducted a sensitivity analysis restricted to isolates that were tested against all three carbapenems.

Differences in EUCAST and CLSI breakpoints might lead to different interpretations of carbapenem non-susceptibility. Consequently, in some cases an isolate might have been categorized as “sensitive” according to one standard and as “intermediate” (i.e. non-susceptible) according to the other standard. Since the use of standards changes over time, this could have affected our results over time. To address this issue, we performed sensitivity analyses for changes in carbapenem non-susceptibility over time: 1) restricted to isolates evaluated according to EUCAST since this is the most commonly used standard in our surveillance data; 2) excluding isolates categorized as “intermediate” to one or more carbapenems and not “resistant” to any carbapenem because for some isolates the classification as “sensitive” or “intermediate” might depend on the standard used.

Resistance against some antibiotics is not routinely tested (e.g. colistin), but only when resistance against other antibiotics is found. Since this can introduce bias into the analysis, we conducted a sensitivity analysis for these antibiotics by restricting the analysis to isolates from laboratories that routinely test ≥90% of all isolates against the respective antibiotic.

Of the 394,637 K. pneumoniae isolates in the database we excluded screening isolates, isolates without antimicrobial testing, repeated isolates of the same patient within one quarter, and isolates from outpatients. We included 154,734 isolates between 2011 and 2016 from 655 hospitals in the analysis (Fig. 1).

Selection of K. pneumoniae isolates from ARS database for the analysis, 2011–2016

Full size image

The median period of data availability per hospital was 2.0 years (IQR: 1.7–4.0 years). Out of all hospitals, 96 had continuous participation in our surveillance system between 2011 and 2016 (45,995 isolates). Hospitals contributing data to the analysis were distributed across Germany with clusters in Schleswig-Holstein, North Rhine-Westphalia, and Baden-Wuerttemberg (Additional file 1: Appendix S2). Over time more hospitals contributed data and the number of isolates strongly increased (Additional file 1: Appendix S3). Interestingly, the number of isolates from continuously participating hospitals almost doubled. Most participating hospitals and included isolates were from the western region in Germany. Further information on the distribution of isolates across subgroups can be found in Additional file 1: Appendices S3 and S4.

Antimicrobial susceptibility testing results were interpreted according to guidelines from the EUCAST for most isolates (76.2%). Other interpretation guidelines used were from the Clinical & Laboratory Standards Institute (CLSI, 15.4%), the German Institute for Standardization (DIN, 7.2%), or no information on interpretation guidelines was given (1.1%). Interpretation of the results according to EUCAST guidelines strongly increased over time (Additional file 1: Appendix S5).

Out of the 154,734 K. pneumoniae isolates, 99.9% were tested against at least one carbapenem (Table 1).

The proportion of isolates non-susceptible against at least one carbapenem was 0.63% (95% CI 0.51–0.76%). In detail, 0.11% (95% CI 0.08–0.13%) of the isolates were tested intermediate against at least one carbapenem and 0.52% (95% CI 0.42–0.64%) were tested resistant. Almost all isolates were tested against meropenem and imipenem, whereas susceptibility against ertapenem was tested in only about a third of the isolates. The proportion of non-susceptible isolates was higher for ertapenem than meropenem or imipenem. A sensitivity analysis restricted to isolates tested against all three carbapenems yielded comparable results (Additional file 1: Appendix S6).

Isolates found non-susceptible to meropenem or imipenem were often non-susceptible against the two other carbapenems as well (Table 2).

Interestingly, only about half of the isolates tested non-susceptible against ertapenem were also found to be non-susceptible against meropenem or imipenem. A sensitivity analysis restricted to isolates that had been tested against all three carbapenems yielded similar results (Additional file 1: Appendix S7). In addition, we found that out of the 501 isolates tested non-susceptible against both imipenem and meropenem, 139 (27.7%) were tested as intermediate against one or both of these substances.

Non-susceptibility of isolates against at least one carbapenem increased from 0.35% in 2011 to 0.78% in 2016 (Table 3).

Since the number of the participating hospitals changes over time, we restricted the analysis to 96 hospitals that continuously contributed data to the analyses between 2011 and 2016. In these hospitals carbapenem non-susceptibility appears to be stable until 2013 and then increased over the following years. We found evidence for an increasing trend of carbapenem non-susceptibility in the continuously participating hospitals (OR = 1.20 per year, 95% CI 1.09–1.33, p < 0.001). The sensitivity analyses 1) restricted to isolates evaluated according to EUCAST and 2) excluding isolates labelled as “intermediate” to one or more carbapenems and not “resistant” to any carbapenem yielded similar results (Additional file 1: Appendix S8).

In uni- and multivariable analyses for risk factors associated with carbapenem non-susceptibility, we could observe that isolates collected from men were more likely to be non-susceptible against at least one carbapenem than isolates from women (Table 4 and Additional file 1: Appendix S9).

Isolates from tertiary care, specialist care, and prevention and rehabilitation care hospitals were more likely to be non-susceptible against at least one carbapenem (Table 4). In addition, isolates from patients in intensive care units were also associated with a greater risk of carbapenem non-susceptibility. Compared to isolates from urine cultures, isolates from swabs, wounds, and other materials also were more likely to be non-susceptible. We found some evidence that isolates from the region “West” had the highest risk of non-susceptibility against at least one carbapenem in multivariable analyses. We found no association of quarter, clinical speciality, county type, social deprivation index, and hospital beds per 10,000 inhabitants with the outcome.

In the multivariable hierarchical logistical regression model accounting for clustering between counties and hospitals, the intraclass cluster coefficient for the variance of carbapenem non-susceptibility between counties was 5.9% and between hospitals 11.8%. Overall, 17.8% of the variance observed was attributable to clustering by county and hospital.

When analysed according to age groups, isolates derived from patients 20–39 years had the highest proportion of non-susceptible isolates (1.17, 95%CI 0.79–1.71%) (Additional file 1: Appendix S9). A stratification of carbapenem non-susceptibility across age groups according to sex showed that the increase in non-susceptibility in the younger age groups affected only isolates from men whereas isolates from women had a decreased chance for carbapenem non-susceptibility in both uni- and multivariable analyses (p for interaction < 0.001) (Fig. 2, Additional file 1: Appendix S10). Moreover, this pattern remained unchanged in analyses excluding isolates from gynaecology / obstetric wards or excluding isolates from urine samples (Additional file 1: Appendix S10).

Multivariable analysis for carbapenem non-susceptibility of K. pneumoniae isolates stratified by age and sex, Germany 2011–2016. Hierarchical logistic regression accounting for county and hospital, Outcome: carbapenem non-susceptibility stratified by age and sex, adjusted for year, quarter, hospital care level, type of care, clinical speciality, specimen type, region, county type, social deprivation index, and hospital beds per 10,000 inhabitants

Full size image

For the 966 isolates non-susceptible to at least one carbapenem, we investigated co-resistance to other antibiotics (Table 5).

Non-susceptibility against penicillin/beta-lactamase inhibitor combinations, 3rd generation cephalosporins, fluoroquinolones, and nitrofurantoin was high. For tigecycline, fosfomycin, gentamicin, and co-trimoxazole non-susceptibility was found in about half of the isolates. Non-susceptibility was lowest for colistin / polymyxins with 13.3% (95% CI 9.8–17.9%). To investigate selective testing, we restricted the analyses to isolates from laboratories that tested at least 90% of their isolates against the respective antibiotic. The proportion of non-susceptible isolates remained similar to the overall analysis. Out of the 966 isolates non-susceptible to at least one carbapenem, 143 were tested against all antibiotics listed in Table 5 (14.8%). Two of those isolates were tested non-susceptible against all the above mentioned antibiotics, indicating pan-resistant K. pneumoniae isolates. In addition, we found 119 isolates that were potentially pan-resistant, i.e. they were tested non-susceptible to the above mentioned antibiotics where investigated, but susceptibility testing results were not available for all these antibiotics.

In this study using routinely collected data on antimicrobial susceptibility testing we found that carbapenem non-susceptibility in K. pneumoniae isolates was 0.63% (95% CI 0.51–0.76%) and slowly increasing (OR = 1.20 per year, 95% CI 1.09–1.33, p < 0.001). Carbapenem non-susceptibility increased across younger age groups in isolates from men but not from women. Co-resistance against antibiotics of last resort for the treatment of patients with multi-drug resistant bacterial infections was common.

Carbapenem resistance has increased strongly over the last years in some regions, e.g. the United States, China, and southern European countries [5, 17, 18]. In contrast, the proportion of carbapenem non-susceptible isolates in Germany is still low and only slowly increasing. However, we found that the absolute numbers of K. pneumoniae isolates from continuously participating hospitals almost doubled from 2011 to 2016, which indicates a growing public health burden concerning K. pneumoniae in general and carbapenem non-susceptible K. pneumoniae in particular.

The absolute number of K. pneumoniae isolates was highest in the older age groups, which is in accordance with the literature [19, 20]. However, upon stratification by age and sex, it is striking that the proportion of carbapenem non-susceptibility is highest in isolates from younger male patients (ages 20–39) and lowest in female patients of the same age groups. Since we do not have further patient-based information available, we can only speculate on the reasons. This effect might be related to differences in patient-based risk factors between men and women at this age. Since we analysed only isolates from hospitals, it is possible that many women in this age group might enter the hospital for child birth while they have a good health status and few risk factors for carbapenem non-susceptibility. Men of the same age group, however, might potentially have more severe reasons for being in the hospital and thus potentially exhibit more risk factors to acquire carbapenem non-susceptible strains. However, sensitivity analyses excluding isolates from potentially healthier patients (from gynaecology / obstetric wards or from urine samples) still showed the same pattern of non-susceptibility and could not explain the observed disparity. Further studies with clinical information are needed to investigate this issue.

Other identified risk factors associated with carbapenem non-susceptibility include isolates from tertiary care, specialist care, and prevention and rehabilitation care hospitals as well as from ICU wards. These findings are in accordance with the literature [20,21,22,23,24,25] and can be attributed to patients with severe co-morbidities and risk factors for acquiring resistant bacteria. We did not find an association with social deprivation status of the county where the hospital is located and carbapenem non-susceptibility even though social deprivation is associated with poorer health outcomes. It would be interesting to investigate the impact of social deprivation on the patients’ level, which is, however, not available in our surveillance data.

The findings of our study yield valuable information for infection control practices. While measures according to international guidelines including hand hygiene, contact precautions, patient isolation and environmental cleaning are recommended for all health institutions dealing with carbapenem-resistant strains [10], our results highlight that carbapenem non-susceptible isolates were more common in Germany in highly specialized hospitals and intensive care units. Thus, these types of hospitals and hospital units should be especially vigilant and need to implement effective surveillance and infection control measures.

Treatment options for infections with carbapenem non-susceptible K. pneumoniae are very limited. While isolates non-susceptible to imipenem or meropenem were mostly non-susceptible to the other two carbapenems as well, in contrast only about half of the isolates non-susceptible to ertapenem showed non-susceptibility to the other two carbapenems. Ertapenem being the more sensitive parameter for carbapenemase producing isolates has been described in the literature [26, 27]. This underlines that Ertapenem non-susceptible isolates should be tested for carbapenemases even when they are still susceptible to meropenem and imipenem. Moreover, in about one third of the isolates tested non-susceptible against imipenem or meropenem we found intermediate susceptibility against one or both substances, which would make them eligible for use in combination therapy. Penicillin/beta-lactamase inhibitor combinations, 3rd generation cephalosporins, fluoroquinolones and nitrofurantoin were not suitable treatment options for most isolates owing to high proportions of non-susceptibility. Less than half of the carbapenem non-susceptible isolates were still susceptible to tigecycline or gentamicin. This is lower than in previous studies and highlights the clinical challenges of infections with carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae [19, 20, 22, 28]. Non-susceptibility against colistin was observed in 13.3% of the isolates, which is comparable to other studies. However, recent publications question the reliability of routine testing methods for colistin so that the observed result should be interpreted with caution and validated in the future [29, 30]. This is especially important since treatment of carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae can require combinations of two or three antibiotics often including colistin [28, 31,32,33]. In this study, we found only two isolates that were non-susceptible to all the antibiotics analysed so that limited treatment options remain for most isolates in this study. However, effective antibiotic stewardship measures should be implemented to keep carbapenem-resistance low and to preserve treatment options [34].

This study uses routine data from accredited laboratories and can base its estimates on isolates from 655 hospitals across the country. This is the first time a study of this size has been conducted in Germany and we are able to investigate even low proportions of carbapenem non-susceptibility in K. pneumoniae with satisfactory statistical precision. We included routine data from about one third of all hospitals in Germany [35]. The sample of hospitals is reasonably large and the estimates between a) descriptive analysis and b) regression analysis adjusting for clustering by region and hospital are comparable. Thus, we are confident that our analysis yields valid results and do not expect a major influence of selection bias.

We excluded screening isolates since these have a different probability of showing resistance than clinical isolates. However, since we do not have any clinical patient information, it is possible that some isolates, e.g. from swabs or the respiratory tract, were also derived from screening samples. Due to the study design it was not possible to account for this.

Moreover, laboratories used different guidelines to interpret their AST results (EUCAST, CLSI or DIN), which could lead to differences in qualitative interpretation of the results. Owing to those discrepancies, a small proportion of isolates with values close to the breakpoints might have been classified as “sensitive” according to one standard and “intermediate” (i.e. non-susceptible) according to the other. Since the use of EUCAST increased over time, this could have artificially influenced the trend analyses over time. However, since the sensitivity analyses restricted to EUCAST isolates or excluding isolates evaluated as “intermediate” yielded similar results as the main analysis, we do not expect this effect to have a substantial impact on our study.

Carbapenem non-susceptibility in K. pneumoniae isolates in Germany is still low but slowly increasing. Since the overall number of tested K. pneumoniae isolates appears to increase as well, this highlights the growing public health burden of carbapenem resistance in Germany. Continued surveillance, implementation of effective infection prevention and control measures, and sustained antibiotic stewardship efforts are necessary to address these problems.

AMR:

Antimicrobial Resistance

ARS:

Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance

CI:

Confidence Intervals

CLSI:

Clinical & Laboratory Standards Institute

DIN:

Deutsches Institut für Normung (German Institute for Standardization)

EARS-Net:

European Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Network

EUCAST:

European Committee on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing

I:

Clinically Intermediate

ICU:

Intensive Care Unit

IQR:

Interquartile Range

K. pneumoniae :

Klebsiella pneumoniae

MIC:

Minimum Inhibitory Concentration

OXA-48:

Oxacillinase 48

R:

Clinically Resistant

S:

Clinically Susceptible

We thank all the laboratories for contributing data to this analysis. A list of all participating laboratories is provided in the Additional file 1: Appendix S1. We thank our colleagues at the Robert Koch Institute for their input during this study and our colleague Doreen Richter for her documentary support.

Funding

The analysis was conducted by internal funds of the Robert Koch Institute as a Federal Institute within the portfolio of the Ministry of Health.

Availability of data and materials

Aggregated ARS data are available online (https://ars.rki.de).

Affiliations

1. Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Robert Koch Institute, Seestr. 10, 13353, Berlin, Germany

   Uwe Koppe, Ines Noll, Marcel Feig, Marc Schneider, Hermann Claus, Tim Eckmanns & Muna Abu Sin

2. Department of Epidemiology and Health Monitoring, Robert Koch Institute, General-Pape-Strasse 62-66, 12101, Berlin, Germany

   Lars E. Kroll

3. Postgraduate Training for Applied Epidemiology, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Robert Koch Institute, Seestr. 10, 13353, Berlin, Germany

   Anja von Laer

Contributions

UK, AVL, IN, MAS, and TE were responsible for conceptualisation of the study and formulate the research goals and aims. UK, AVL, LEK, IN, MF, MAS, and TE developed the methodology and models. UK, IN, MF, HC, and MS worked on the data curation. UK performed the statistical analysis and wrote the original draft. UK, AVL, LEK, IN, MF, MS, HC, MAS, and TE reviewed and commented the draft and gave input on editing. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Uwe Koppe.

Ethics approval and consent to participate

The study only includes anonymised routine surveillance data. Ethical approval for analysis of such surveillance data is not required according to the Medical Association’s professional code of conduct.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

Reprints and Permissions